politscienceПолитическая наукаPolitical science1998-1775ИНИОН РАНpolitscience-229Research ArticleКОНТЕКСТРОССИЯ В МИРОВОЙ ПОЛИТИКЕ, 2025–2030: ПРОБЛЕМЫ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯRussia in world politics 2025–2030: Problems of forecastingКосоруковАртем АндреевичKosorukovA. A.аrtem‑1985@yandex.ruМГУ им. М.В. ЛомоносоваRussian Federation20121105202304Мировая политическая динамика123147Copyright © Косоруков А.А., 20232023Косоруков А.А.Kosorukov A.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.politnauka.ru/jour/article/view/229

В статье рассматриваются основные проблемы прогнозирования развития государства в условиях современной глобализации, дается анализ основных трендов развития мировой политики 2025–2030 гг., обозначаются положительный, негативный и инерционный сценарии развития России в рамках выделенных трендов, выделяются ключевые риски, выступающие критическими точками развития мировой политики в рассматриваемый период.

The article is dedicated to the main problems of forecasting state development under the conditions of globalization. The author analyzes the principal trends of world politics 2025–2030 and depicts positive, negative and the inertial scenarios of Russia’s development according to urgent trends. He emphasizes key risks which are crucial to world politics development in the period under review.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.