References

politscience

Политическая наука

Political science

1998-1775

ИНИОН РАН

politscience-460

Research Article

СОСТОЯНИЕ ДИСЦИПЛИНЫ

Этнические войны и постконфликтная демократия

Ethnic wars and post-conflict democracy

Харитонова

Оксана Геннадьевна

Kharitonova

Oxana

noemail@neicon.ru

МГИМО МИД РоссииРоссияMoscow State Institute of International RelationsRussian Federation

2016

12052023

Политическая организация разделенных обществ

3459

2023

Харитонова О.Г.

Kharitonova O.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://www.politnauka.ru/jour/article/view/460

Статья посвящена изучению состояния исследований этнических войн в контексте гражданских войн, причин, институциональных и контекстных факторов, способствующих началу и возобновлению гражданских и этнических войн, связей между политическими режимами и риском гражданских и этнических войн, а также перспектив постконфликтного урегулирования разделенных обществ. Автор показывает, что, несмотря на выявленную статистическую значимость, количественные модели не могут раскрыть причинно-следственные связи, так как не учитывают политической воли акторов, действующих в разных институциональных контекстах.

The article analyzes the state of the research of civil wars, ethnic wars, the conditions and institutional and contextual factors which increase the risk of beginning and resuming wars, the relationship between political regime types and civil and ethnic war risks. Special attention is given to the post-conflict institutional regulation of divided societies. The article concludes that despite the statistical significance of various variables, the quantitative models can not reveal the cause-and-effect relationships without taking into account the political will of actors acting within different institutional contexts.

гражданская войнаэтническая войнаразделенное обществопостконфликтная демократияcivil warethnic wardivided societypost-conflict democracy

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.