Global transformations of the World System and contours of a new world order
https://doi.org/10.31249/poln/2024.02.06
Abstract
The article examines the processes of transformation of the World System, which are expressed in large, fundamental changes. The World System is in a phase preceding its transition into a new qualitative state, with a change in the balance of power in a variety of aspects and parameters. The growing power of globalism and the globalist world order has been discussed. As a part of the analysis carried out in the article, it is noted that the ongoing changes in (of) the World System occur rarely, once every few decades, and periods of profound changes can last for a long time. The authors suggest that the period of reconfiguration of the World System and the formation of a new world order will take at least one and a half to two decades, and possibly more. At the same time, the authors argue it is very likely that this will be a very turbulent period, with a further aggravation of contradictions and their possible transition to armed conflicts. The authors claim that such fundamental transformations occur as a result of not only changes in international relations and reconfigurations in the balance of power in the military-technological potentials of countries and the geopolitical alignment in general (which is necessary), but also of the accumulation of major qualitative changes in almost all areas: from demographic to cultural; from technological to ideological. The article analyzes and demonstrates the dynamics of such changes over the past decades.
About the Authors
L. E. GrininRussian Federation
Grinin Leonid
Moscow
A. L. Grinin
Russian Federation
Grinin Anton
Moscow
A. V. Korotayev
Russian Federation
Korotayev Andrey
Moscow
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