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Struggle for the new world order in the demographic aspect

https://doi.org/10.31249/poln/2025.01.02

Abstract

The struggle for the new world order is currently becoming more active and evident. The study of various aspects and dimensions of this struggle, as well as the forecasts based on this analysis, can be important and relevant both in theoretical and practical aspects. Among the many dimensions of the struggle for world order, for example military-strategic, geopolitical, economic, technological, etc., the demographic dimension of this struggle usually receives insufficient attention. Meanwhile, although demographic changes are long-term, they are undoubtedly basic, radically and usually irreversibly changing the image and capabilities of certain countries and actors. But the demographic factor is also extremely important in global terms, given the sharp decline in fertility in the Western world and even in Asia and its high growth in Africa, as well as the rapid global population ageing.
This article uses a research method that can be called the aspect-factor method. Its methodological value lies in the fact that it allows us to identify certain more closelyrelated phenomena in a large flow of different and interrelated processes, causes and factors. It makes it possible to reveal important regularities, trends, tendencies and details.
The article examines the various directions of the demographic dimension of the struggle for the world order (including the constant deterioration in the recruitment in the armies of the United States and Western countries), as well as the forecasts of the impact of changes in the demographic balance of power on the transformation of the world order.

About the Author

A. L. Grinin
Lomonosov Moscow State University ; HSE University
Russian Federation

Grinin Anton 

Moscow



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